Internal Dissent and Cabinet Resignations
Since the 2021 federal election, the Liberal Party has experienced declining poll numbers and unexpected losses in traditionally secure seats. These setbacks have intensified internal frustrations regarding Trudeau's leadership. Notably, several cabinet ministers have recently resigned:
Pablo Rodriguez, Minister of Transport, departed in September 2024 to pursue leadership of the Quebec Liberal Party.
Randy Boissonnault, Alberta MP, resigned in November 2024 amid allegations concerning his business dealings and disputed Indigenous heritage claims.
Sean Fraser, Housing Minister, announced in December 2024 his intention to leave the federal cabinet, citing family reasons.
Chrystia Freeland, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance, resigned on December 16, 2024, following disagreements over economic policies and in response to potential U.S. tariffs.
Sources indicate that Trudeau may announce his resignation before the national caucus meeting scheduled for Wednesday, January 8, 2025. This timing would allow him to step down on his own terms rather than appearing to yield to internal party pressures. However, as of now, no final decision has been confirmed.
Should Trudeau resign, the Liberal Party would need to appoint an interim leader and organize a leadership convention to select his successor. This process could span several months, potentially leaving the party vulnerable amid upcoming elections. The recent cabinet resignations and internal dissent have already posed significant challenges to the party's unity and public image.
Economic and Political Context
Trudeau's leadership has recently been tested by economic challenges, including a projected deficit of $61.9 billion for the 2023–24 fiscal year, surpassing earlier targets. Additionally, the prospect of 25% tariffs from the United States under President Donald Trump's administration has further complicated Canada's economic landscape. These factors, coupled with internal party dynamics, have contributed to the current leadership crisis.
Next Steps
As the situation develops, all eyes are on Prime Minister Trudeau and the Liberal Party's forthcoming decisions. An official announcement regarding his leadership is anticipated imminently, which will have profound implications for Canada's political future.